Why Gasol vs Bosh Is the X-Factor To A X-Mas Day Victory

A Lakers game on December 25th has become as much of a Christmas day tradition as a Detroit Lions football game on Thanksgiving (or, for all of you non-football fans, about as traditional as Santa Claus and a christmas tree).

Since Kobe Bryant entered the league in 1996, the Lakers have spent their Christmas on the hardwood in 12 out of the past 14 NBA seasons (or 13, if you don’t count the lockout season, where no games were played until after the new year).

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While Santa Claus has not been especially nice to the Lakers during that stretch (visible in their 5-7 Christmas Day record), it has become just as customary for the fans to receive one of the most anticipated matchups of the season on that day. Whether it was Shaq’s first return to Los Angeles or an NBA Finals rematch, Christmas Day never ceases to provide the fans with a excellent

This year will be no different. In arguably the most anticipated game of the regular season, the Lakers will play host to the newly assembled South Beach Super Friends of the Miami Heat. The contest itself is pegged to be a classic battle of David versus Goliath, highlighted by a superstar studded cast that features Kobe Bryant, LeBron James and Dwyane Wade; however, the game’s x-factor will undoubtedly reside in the matchup of Pau Gasol and Chris Bosh.

Although neither player carries a hype-instilling swagger parallel to that of Bryant, James or Wade – Gasol and Bosh have proven to be all-stars in their own regard; as well as the key to a Christmas Day victory for their respective teams.

But with Kobe, LeBron and Wade on the court, why does the outcome hinge so heavily on the matchup of a second (Gasol) and third (Bosh) tier stars? The answer is simple: Whoever wins the battle down low will ultimately win the game.

Aside from a lack of quality players past their “Big Three,” Miami’s most glaring hole lies in the front court. While they do have Bosh, a five-time all-star and a career 20/10 player, the list of suitable help in the post and on the glass does not extend further than him. With the exception of the below-average Joel Anthony, Miami’s front court is composed of outdated veterans who are just barely hanging on to the twilight of their careers: Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Juwan Howard, Erick Dampier and Jammal Magliore. As a result, the Heat are going to find it difficult to contend in the paint with the Lakers set of big men, which is arguably the most imposing group in the NBA. Led by Gasol, the versatile Lamar Odom and the recently recovered Andrew Bynum, the Lakers possess all the tools necessary to give Miami fits down low for a full 48 minutes.

Assuming Bynum returns to the starting lineup, the Lakers will tipoff with Bryant, Gasol, Bynum, Ron Artest and Derek Fisher on the floor together for the first time this season. This shifts Gasol back to the power forward spot, allowing him to matchup with Bosh for the majority of the game.

Next: What Needs To Be Done

What does a 48-minute date with Bosh mean for Gasol? For the Lakers?

Even with Gasol’s stretch of lackluster and frustrating performances as of late, he is still wildly outplaying Bosh this season. Granted, Bosh is acting as the third-wheel to two of the best players in the league, therefore, it’s understandable that his scoring numbers won’t be as lofty as Gasol’s. Nevertheless, from a defensive and rebounding standpoint, there is no comparison between the two big men.

After Bosh, the Heat’s next two biggest threats on the glass are James (6.5) and Wade (6.4); with Bosh being Miami’s only honest threat on the glass above 6-foot-8, it would make sense for him to be averaging at least 10 rebounds per game. However, through 30 games, that has not been the case, as Bosh is only pulling down a meager 7.9 boards per game (the lowest since his rookie season). Gasol, on the other hand, has been doing the opposite, averaging 11.1 rebounds per game, while his front court partner, Lamar Odom, puts up just under 10 per game as well.

Throughout his career, Bosh has never been known as a lock down defender (or much of a defensive player for that matter). Despite his 6-foot-11, 235 pound frame, Bosh has yet to average more than 1.4 blocks per game in his career, and this year, he isn’t even recording a full swat each contest. Statistics aren’t everything, but given Bosh’s history as relaxed defender, there will be ample opportunities for the Lakers’ big men to exploit the gaping holes that plague Miami’s front court. It will be crucial for the Lakers to make their presence felt down low and on the glass. Bosh is a very good player, but for 48 minutes, he’s no match for Gasol, Odom and Bynum.

Often criticized for being too weak and for not playing with enough intensity, Gasol continues to prove – year after year – that he is not deserving of the “soft” label so often associated with his style of play. In terms of their statistics, size and prowess as a sidekick rather than the alpha dog, Gasol and Bosh do draw comparisons. However, Gasol’s skill set is what ultimately separates the two.

Gasol may not have the strength and body mass to overpower Bosh (or any big man for that matter); but he does have the post moves, the Basketball IQ and the supplementary help down low to neutralize any impact Bosh might have. The only way he can do this, though, is to play with a desire to grab every rebound and block every shot for a full 48 minutes. Not a half, not three quarters – but a full game. Everyone, including Pau, knows that he is more than capable of executing this. If he does and Odom and Bynum provide strong contributions as well, the Lakers will win.

If Gasol and the rest of the Lakers’ big men can establish themselves down low from the game’s onset (and do so effectively), the Lakers should avoid another embarrassing Christmas Day loss at the hands of LeBron James.

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